News and Events
NEXT MEETING ALERT:
Join us on May 13 from 1:30pm (EST) as we chat with Cathy Hackl, Futurist and Virtual Reality expert. More details to come. RSVP by 5/7.
TO RSVP click the black box above - the RSVP is a hyperlink.
CELEBRATING 8 YEARS!!!
Take a walk down memory lane... then join us on social media to share your memories over the years. We thank you all for your continuous support - FFCOI thrives on the strength of our community!
Attention, Attention - Ever wonder how you can be featured in the FFCOI Focus newsletter, or perhaps you have a very interesting topic or product under way and you want to share with a greater crowd? Why not reach out to FFCOI and let us help you and your organization promote your work. We are always happy to share content with the community, just reach out!
RETIREMENT ALERT: JOHN KAMENSKY
POC: John Kamensky
John Kamensky completed a 44-year career focused on government improvement. At GAO, he helped draft GPRA in 1993. He was a deputy director for the Clinton-Gore Reinventing Government effort, proposing the designation of agency chief operating officers and the President’s Management Council. In his 20 years at the IBM Center, he led research on collaborative networks, performance improvement, and strategic foresight. Retirement plans include not setting an alarm clock or attending Zoom meetings during lunch. John plans on staying active via the National Academy of Public Administration and related professional activities, such as FFCOI.
BOOK LEARNING FROM TOMORROW:
POC: Bart Edes
COVID- 19 shredded our plans, while injecting greater uncertainty into a world already undergoing disruptive change. Learning from Tomorrow: Using Strategic Foresight to Prepare for the Next Big Disruption, explains how planners and decision-makers are using Strategic foresight to “future proof” new plans and strategies.
OMB CIRCULAR A-11 REINSTATEMENT:
On March 24, 2021, the White House reinstated OMB Circular No. A-11. This very important section containing important foresight references was removed in December 2020. The document will once again have federal agencies create and track performance goals that reflect the current administration’s objectives.
ARTICLE: "WE CAN'T PREVENT TOMORROW'S CATASTROPHES UNLESS WE IMAGINE THEM TODAY":
POC: Peter Scoblic
In Peter Scoblic’s recent article featured in the Washington Post, he writes about the events of the past year and the uncertainty of the future. Peter discusses the need for more than a strategy, specifically, the need for strategic foresight. In this call to action article, Peter gives mention to the pockets of strategic foresight in government such as the USSS, GAO, OPM, Forest Service, USAID, and various parts of DoD. But the pockets are scattered and to overcome such a challenge the President needs to make strategic foresight a priority.
FUTURE OF WORK DISRUPTORS:
POC: Maria Bothwell
Most organizations are trying to figure out what work will look like in the future. Toffler Associates has put together an executive guide to create your own custom action plan. The guide includes 9 key disruptors to be aware of as organizations plan for the future of work.
FUTURE OF GOVERNMENT IN 2030:
POC: Maria Bothwell
ViWhat will the Future of Government in 2030 look like 24 futurists were interviewed about how the world might look in 2030. To get a sense of what the coming decade might mean for state and local governments, they asked futurists, including thought leaders, public officials, academics, and tech experts for their ideas on the trends that will have the greatest impact on the public sector over the next 10 years. Their responses, condensed and in this article, provide a glimpse into what may happen in the years ahead.
PATHFINDER'S GUIDE TO THE SPACE ENTERPRISE:
POC: Kara Cunzeman
The Aerospace Corporation’s Strategic Foresight Team has just released a futures map entitled “Pathfinder’s Guide to the Space Enterprise.” Over 70 world-class experts and bright minds came together to help create this visual journey through the final frontier. The map investigates developments and possible trajectories across seven core themes and imagines the art of the possible at key convergence points. Ready to journey out of this world? Be sure to download the map to learn more.
ARTICLE - CRISIS AND LEADERSHIP: THE PRESIDENTIAL ROLE IN RESTORING TRUST:
In his latest article, founder and former FFCOI chair James-Christian Blockwood discusses crises that come without warning and are unavoidable. Today futurists, politicians, and everyday Americans cannot only sense, but can also see the change in the atmosphere. Another civil war on American soil? Though mention of it seems alarmist, it is not inconceivable. The upcoming election will forever change America, and as such, it will be important to learn from past crises.
ARTICLE - THE FUTURE OF WORK POST-PANDEMIC: WE'RE NOT GOING BACK:
POC: John Kamensky
It is estimated that many private sector companies jumped three to four years ahead into the future workplace in the space of a few weeks due to the pandemic. Government areas also adapted to the new normal by transitioning services online that had been traditionally reluctant to redesign. While many kinks need to be worked out, government will have to adapt to many challenges, and look ahead to a new normal.
COVID SCENARIOS - MILLENNIUM PROJECT:
POC: Jerome Glenn
The Millennium Project and the American Red Cross present scenarios integrating medical, health, socio-economic, and psychological factors of the possible future courses of the COVID pandemic.
MAD SCI UPDATE:
POC: Allison Kuntzman
The TRADOC G-2 continues to work with the Army Futures Command's Intelligence and Security Directorate to define a consistent operating environment (OE) narrative, spanning the near, mid-, and far terms out to 2050. Check out the two videos: The 2 + 3 Threat -- addressing the near-term OE. The Army Future Command's new Forging the Future in an Uncertain World addressing the mid-to-far term OE.
OMB ALERT: "FORESIGHT" DEFINITION ADDED TO CIRCULAR A-11:
In July 2020, the White House released an update to OMB Circular No. A-11 which provides guidance on preparing the FY 2022 Budget and Budget Execution. For the first time, OMB included a definition of “Foresight” in Part 6 Section 200.22. The definition explains incorporating foresight into strategic planning, to help agencies prepare for multiple possible futures.
REPORT - IFTF: BUILDING A HEALTH COGNITIVE IMMUNE SYSTEM:
POC: Sean Ness
The Institute for the Future (IFTF) has released a new report on building a healthy cognitive immune system. In order to preserve democracy, IFTF wanted to know how to develop a new immune mechanism, a new immune system, suited to today’s realities. In this report, IFTF explores the need to upgrade our “cognitive immune systems” at individual and community levels.
ARTICLE - WHAT CHANGES LIE AHEAD - PITTSBURGH QUARTERLY:
POC: Bill O'Toole
In this article from Pittsburgh Quarterly, Futurist Mull What Changes Lie Ahead in new COVID-19 era. Featuring member Steve Sanford and Futurist Amy Webb among others discuss a social distant century from school to health care in addition to how communities will need to reform and rebuild.
STATE OF FORESIGHT AMONG THE FORTUNE 500:
POC: Andy Hines
Last fall the Houston Foresight program led an effort to explore the “state of foresight.” The effort explored the basic question “who is actually doing foresight?” The study revealed that only 25% of US Fortune 500 companies practiced foresight in some form. While this is the first time the study has been conducted, there is much to learn from this impressively low figure. Future studies hope to identify the number of corporations, government agencies, etc. that practice foresight and the maturity level of the practice.