News and Events
NEXT MEETING ALERT:
Join us at 11am (EST) on January 19, 2023, as we host: Toffler Associates who will be discussing A Framework for Navigating Climate Change Complexity Be sure to RSVP at FFCoI.org by 1/13/2023.
TO RSVP click the black box above - the "RSVP" text is a hyperlink.
WEBINAR: UPDATES ON FORESIGHT IN CANADA AND US GOVERNMENT:
POC: Clem Bezold
Join the Public Sector Foresight Network and Association of Professional Futurists, as they host a webinar providing updates on foresight in the Canadian and US Governments. On Tuesday, January 10th at 12PM EST, join Imran Arshad, the Director of Outreach for Policy Horizons Canada and our very own co-chair Eric Popiel, Strategic Workforce Analyst for the U.S. Office of Personnel Management as they share examples and describe how foresight work has changed over time. You will also hear about foresight programs of selected U.S. federal agencies. Be sure to register and kick off the year with some insightful knowledge.
POC: Derya Turan
Future Festival innovation conference brings together incredible minds to discover the next big idea. The event covers future trends, key consumer insights, and disruptive innovations that will shift the industry. Stay ahead of the competition by utilizing our frameworks and workshops. Early bird discounted tickets for Future Festival NYC end January 18th, and other cities' Super Early Bird BOGO tickets end March 15th. To learn more or register visit their website.
FORESIGHT FRIDAY @ NIOSH - INVESTIGATING THE GROWTH OF STRATEGIC FORESIGHT IN THE U.S. GOVERNMENT:
Join the NIOSH Office of Research Integration at their Foresight Friday on January 13, 2023 at 11am ET, as they host Dr. Peter Scoblic, co-founder and principal of Event Horizon Strategies. Dr. Scoblic will speak on the growth of strategic foresight interest and practice across U.S. federal agencies. He will also provide recommendations in support of a formalized whole-of-government strategic foresight effort in the U.S. Be sure to register for this insightful event.
Kick off the year with a new read. Based on interviews with 64 visionaries and research on imagination and futures thinking, the report highlights the importance of imagining better futures to strengthen and evolve American democracy, makes recommendations for funders and practitioners, and contours a positive visioning ecosystem of real and fictional bright spots. Be sure to check it out.
INTERVIEW: FEDNEWS WITH ERIC POPIEL:
POC: Tom Temin
Federal Drive with Tom Temin spoke with OPM’s strategic foresight program analyst, Eric Popiel and the Commerce Department’s deputy chief financial officer, Steve Kunze to discuss their award-winning program. The effort, led by the Office of Personnel Management, leveraged foresight tools to determine futures skills needed for the financial profession.
Developing AND APPLYING STRATEGIC FORESIGHT FOR BETTER HUMAN CAPITAL MANAGEMENT (OPM):
POC: Eric Popiel
OPM has recently, released its guidebook designed to provide Federal agencies with a systematic approach to applying foresight to their unique challenges and missions. Agencies may apply the process and methods presented in this guide to a diverse set of internal and external challenges. The Framework Foresight process is a method to systematically apply foresight.
UNCERTAINTY AND FORESIGHT GUIDE:
POC: Maria Bothwell
As practitioners, we recognize that greater uncertainty means an increased need for foresight as it offers a structured approach to analyze and prepare for uncertainty. While we have seen an increased interest, the list of potential disruptors is fairly daunting—long-term impacts of the pandemic, economic cycles and inflation, climate issues, policy-making, consumer attitudes, societal shifts, supply chain restructuring, and geopolitics. Unfortunately, we have not seen associated changes in planning behavior. This guide may help you communicate to leaders the value of Foresight.
POC: Jeannette Bruno
GSA’s Center of Excellence (CoE) Innovation Adoption (IA) practice created this resource to help orient you to strategic foresight and design futures methods to better anticipate risk and prepare for the future. In this guide you will find useful examples of methods and their feasibility.
UNIVERSITY OF HOUSTON PROFESSIONAL CERTIFICATE IN FORESIGHT JANUARY SEMINAR:
POC: April L Koury
Registration is open for UH’s 5 day in-person Foresight boot camp. The seminar offers a hands-on approach to foresight, guiding participants through a project using UH’s Framework Foresight process, with theory, exercises, and discussions. Participants receive a Professional Certificate in Foresight. Students can obtain a separate Certificate of Achievement by completing a post-program project, which qualifies as one criterion for membership to the Association of Professional Futurists. Class runs Jan 9-13 in Houston, TX.
KEDGE FORESIGHT TOOL-BASED COURSE – LIVE-ONLINE:
POC: Nicole Baker Rosa
The Futures School (TFS) Activations in Natural Foresight® program, learners engage in 12, 90-minute labs across 6 months that deep-dive into Natural Foresight® tools driving impact in strategy, innovation, change, and personal development. Participants also contribute to a global trend data management platform to fuel their personal and professional futures intelligence. The next session starts 2/1/23 at 3 pm (EST). Check out our website for more information, and apply by Jan 17.
POC: Catherine Murillo
This program is available to all RegAF, USSF, AFRES, and ANG enlisted members on Title 10 or Title 32 (502F) active duty orders. You can get a maximum of $4,500 in benefits during your career to earn Strategic Planning and Management professional certifications and credentials from the International Association for Strategy Professionals (IASP). The Mastering Strategy: Strategic Management Performance System Certification Program (SMPS), in association with the George Washington University’s Center for Excellence in Public Leadership Continuing Professional Education program for military members seeking strategy management certification and credentials.
BLOG: DISILLUSIONED YOUTH: A DANGER TO DEMOCRACY:
POC: Steve Gale and Mat Burrows
This blog examines the evidence that youth disillusionment is a growing and serious threat to democracy. Challenges today play out in a landscape of immense political instability. Leaving youth wanting to “opt out.” Youth disengagement will ultimately have negative impacts beyond democratic engagement with potential shockwaves on social stability, and more.
Building Government Resiliency with Strategy Foresight:
POC: Lauren Oliver
Learn why strategic foresight will be increasingly necessary for federal agencies, as a framework for challenging assumptions, fostering innovation, and preparing for obstacles ahead. This new research report by Accenture Federal offers four steps to adopt and scale strategic foresight methods.
LONG COVID IMPACT - WHITE PAPER:
POC: Melissa Smallwood
A white paper by the Solve Long Covid Initiative estimates Long Covid may affect 22-43 million Americans, with 7-14 million of these cases causing new or worsening disability. This paper explores the economic impact of Long Covid on
Center for Strategic Foresight Trends Report 2022:
POC: Sharaelle Grzesiak
In 2022, GAO staff worked with experts including the Center’s Fellows to identify 12 trends affecting government and society. Read the report here, check out our press release, or watch the video . These trends explore what will likely affect government and society in the next 5 to 15 years—including science and technology in an innovation economy, global supply chains, racial and ethnic disparities, and national security threats.
DOD 2022 National Defense Strategy:
POC: NDS 2022 Fact Sheet
The Department of Defense transmitted the classified 2022 National Defense Strategy (NDS) to Congress today (March 28, 2022). The classified NDS sets out how the Department of Defense will contribute to advancing and safeguarding vital U.S. national interests – protecting the American people, expanding America’s prosperity, and realizing and defending our democratic values. An unclassified version is expected to be available to the public in coming weeks.
THE META TRENDING TRENDS 2022:
POC: Matt Klein
The fifth annual Meta Trend Report synthesizes 500+ trends from 40+ reports, ranking the 14 most frequently reported cultural trends for 2022. Meta Trends are not the final product. They’re the start…Rather than treating these Meta Trends as an accurate forecast, we must now also use them as filters to seek out what’s NOT discussed…It’s the weak signals and under-discussed which continue to spur true threats and opportunities: the messy, uncomfortable, and complex concepts these reports will never face. The overlooked — not the mainstream reportage nor this report — must be our focus.
ARTICLE: STRATEGIC FORESIGHT IN U.S. AGENCIES:
POC: J. Peter Scoblic
U.S. public policy has often been myopic, sacrificing long-term needs to short-term interests. This short-termism not only reduces economic performance, threatens the environment, and undermines national security—to name but a few consequences—it also leaves the United States vulnerable to surprise and limits its ability to manage crises, such as the COVID-19 pandemic. The question is, what to do about it? This report argues that it is, in part, a mechanism for coping with the uncertainty of the future and that reducing myopia requires providing policymakers tools for managing that uncertainty. Specifically, it maintains that the practice of strategic foresight—the rigorous examination of imagined alternative futures to better sense, shape, and adapt to the emerging future—can put boundaries around future uncertainty while enabling better strategy in the present.
ARTICLE: A FUTURIST'S GUIDE TO PREPARING YOUR COMPANY FOR CONSTANT CHANGE:
POC: April Rinne
While finding “the right time” to prepare for change can be difficult, there are myriad ways to get started. A recent article by the Harvard Business Review, “A Futurist’s Guide to Preparing Your Company for Constant Change” looks back at 2020 and 2021 as wake up calls for how quickly things can change. It is important to consider past experiences as warning for what’s ahead – not necessarily a pandemic but more disruptions.
SOIF CASE STUDY - GOVERNMENT OFFICE FOR SCIENCE:
POC: Ruth Beveridge
The School of International Futures (SOIF) recently published its Government Office for the Science case study report. The report discusses building effective foresight governance systems, and contains a blog summarizing the work. The report explores how governments in eight countries use foresight and futures techniques – with examples from FFCOI, VA, USCG, GAO, and more.
GLOBAL TRENDS 2040:
In March 2021, the National Intelligence Council (NIC) published their 7th edition of the NIC Global Trends 2040: A More Contested World. The global trends report provides an analytic framework for each administration as they craft a national security strategy and navigate an uncertain future. While NIC does not provide a specific prediction of the world in 2040, it does provide an idea of what may lie beyond the horizon to prepare for an array of possible futures.
POC: Bart Edes
COVID- 19 shredded our plans, while injecting greater uncertainty into a world already undergoing disruptive change. Learning from Tomorrow: Using Strategic Foresight to Prepare for the Next Big Disruption, explains how planners and decision-makers are using Strategic foresight to “future proof” new plans and strategies.
FUTURE OF GOVERNMENT IN 2030:
POC: Maria Bothwell
ViWhat will the Future of Government in 2030 look like 24 futurists were interviewed about how the world might look in 2030. To get a sense of what the coming decade might mean for state and local governments, they asked futurists, including thought leaders, public officials, academics, and tech experts for their ideas on the trends that will have the greatest impact on the public sector over the next 10 years. Their responses, condensed and in this article, provide a glimpse into what may happen in the years ahead.
ARTICLE - THE FUTURE OF WORK POST-PANDEMIC: WE'RE NOT GOING BACK:
POC: John Kamensky
It is estimated that many private sector companies jumped three to four years ahead into the future workplace in the space of a few weeks due to the pandemic. Government areas also adapted to the new normal by transitioning services online that had been traditionally reluctant to redesign. While many kinks need to be worked out, government will have to adapt to many challenges, and look ahead to a new normal.