News and Events
NEXT MEETING ALERT:
Join us at 11am (EST) on May 12th as we host: Marie Mahon, Senior Lecturer in Human Geography, and Matthew Finch, Associate Fellow both from The IMAINE Project. Matthew and Marie will be discussing the new scales of Justice: Exploring the Future of Regional Inequality with Europe’s IMAJINE scenarios. Be sure to RSVP at FFCoI.org by 5/6/2022.
TO RSVP click the black box above - the "RSVP" text is a hyperlink.
Attention, Attention - Ever wonder how you can be featured in the FFCOI Focus newsletter, or perhaps you have a very interesting topic or product under way and you want to share with a greater crowd? Why not reach out to FFCOI and let us help you and your organization promote your work. We are always happy to share content with the community, just reach out!
JOB ANNOUNCEMENT: OPM Foresight Role - Apply by May 25th:
POC: Eric Popiel
The U.S. Office of Personnel Management is hiring! As a senior Program Analyst, you will be responsible for the practical application of strategic foresight, through specific foresight methodologies such as horizon scanning, scenario-based planning, and back casting as well as equipping Human Capital stakeholders with tools and building strategic networks and partnerships. You will have the opportunity to work with agencies across government and help them address their unique challenges. Be sure to apply here or here to this unique opportunity.
PUBLIC SERVICE RECOGNITION WEEK May 2 - 7, 2022:
Happy Public Service Recognition Week!! We want to thank all the public servants in government especially those near to us in the foresight community. You all work hard to stand up foresight across government, push the innovation path and make strides to think about the future and best prepare government!
Did you know that since May 1985, public service has been celebrated annually. It is the time set aside to recognize individuals who serve our nation as federal, state, and local government employees. FFCOI will be participating in this year’s events by showcasing the many government employees who stand out in the foresight arena. #PSRW
SOIF SUMMER RETREAT IN STRATEGIC FORESIGHT - REGISTER BY JUNE 30th:
POC: SOIF Learning
SOIF’S SUMMER RETREAT IN STRATEGIC FORESIGHT REGISTER BY JUNE 30THSchool of International Futures' is running its foresight retreat in the UK from 1-5 August 2022. This intensive face-to-face course is designed for emerging and senior leaders in policy-making, strategy and analysis roles. Over five days, participants learn how to use foresight to manage uncertainty and to create future-ready organizations. Sessions are led by SOIF faculty and supported by more than 15 expert speakers. The retreat is ideal for enhancing your foresight skills, gaining new perspectives, and joining a global community of practice.
LONG COVID IMPACT - WHITE PAPER:
POC: Melissa Smallwood
A white paper by the Solve Long Covid Initiative estimates Long Covid may affect 22-43 million Americans, with 7-14 million of these cases causing new or worsening disability. This paper explores the economic impact of Long Covid on working adults, employers, and the disability system.
UN ADVANCE STRATEGIC FORESIGHT BREAKDOWN OR BREAKTHROUGH SCENARIOS:
POC: Steve Gale
UNITED NATIONS ADVANCES STRATEGIC FORESIGHT BREAKDOWN OR BREAKTHROUGH SCENARIOS: The UN Secretary-General recently announced a number of pioneering foresight initiatives under its "Our Common Agenda" to include a: (1) Futures Lab; (2) Declaration on Future Generations; (3) new United Nations Special Envoy to ensure that policy/budget decisions reflect future generations; (4) a regularly issued Strategic Foresight and Global Risk Report; and, (5) Summit on the Future in 2023. Each initiative, and how they interconnect, are described.
IFTF Urgent Optimists:
POC: Cindy Baskin
Institute for the Future has launched its first individual membership program for foresight practitioners who want to face the future with more creativity and optimism. Membership benefits include access to a monthly Scenario Club, online courses in Imagination Leadership Training, forecasting games, signals scavenger hunts, live community events, and social networking features to connect with futurists all around the world.
Center for Strategic Foresight Trends Report 2022:
POC: Sharaelle Grzesiak
In 2022, GAO staff worked with experts including the Center’s Fellows to identify 12 trends affecting government and society. Read the report here, check out our press release, or watch the video . These trends explore what will likely affect government and society in the next 5 to 15 years—including science and technology in an innovation economy, global supply chains, racial and ethnic disparities, and national security threats.
DOD 2022 National Defense Strategy:
POC: NDS 2022 Fact Sheet
The Department of Defense transmitted the classified 2022 National Defense Strategy (NDS) to Congress today (March 28, 2022). The classified NDS sets out how the Department of Defense will contribute to advancing and safeguarding vital U.S. national interests – protecting the American people, expanding America’s prosperity, and realizing and defending our democratic values. An unclassified version is expected to be available to the public in coming weeks.
THE META TRENDING TRENDS 2022:
POC: Matt Klein
The fifth annual Meta Trend Report synthesizes 500+ trends from 40+ reports, ranking the 14 most frequently reported cultural trends for 2022. Meta Trends are not the final product. They’re the start…Rather than treating these Meta Trends as an accurate forecast, we must now also use them as filters to seek out what’s NOT discussed…It’s the weak signals and under-discussed which continue to spur true threats and opportunities: the messy, uncomfortable, and complex concepts these reports will never face. The overlooked — not the mainstream reportage nor this report — must be our focus.
PODCAST: MAD SCIENTIST LAB - with Robin Champ:
The Convergence podcast episode, featuring Robin Champ, Chief, Enterprise Strategy Division, U.S. Secret Service, where she discusses women leading in national security, empowering diversity to think about the future, and how emerging technologies and trends will affect Secret Service missions.
ARTICLE: STRATEGIC FORESIGHT IN U.S. AGENCIES:
POC: J. Peter Scoblic
U.S. public policy has often been myopic, sacrificing long-term needs to short-term interests. This short-termism not only reduces economic performance, threatens the environment, and undermines national security—to name but a few consequences—it also leaves the United States vulnerable to surprise and limits its ability to manage crises, such as the COVID-19 pandemic. The question is, what to do about it? This report argues that it is, in part, a mechanism for coping with the uncertainty of the future and that reducing myopia requires providing policymakers tools for managing that uncertainty. Specifically, it maintains that the practice of strategic foresight—the rigorous examination of imagined alternative futures to better sense, shape, and adapt to the emerging future—can put boundaries around future uncertainty while enabling better strategy in the present.
ARTICLE: A FUTURIST'S GUIDE TO PREPARING YOUR COMPANY FOR CONSTANT CHANGE:
POC: April Rinne
While finding “the right time” to prepare for change can be difficult, there are myriad ways to get started. A recent article by the Harvard Business Review, “A Futurist’s Guide to Preparing Your Company for Constant Change” looks back at 2020 and 2021 as wake up calls for how quickly things can change. It is important to consider past experiences as warning for what’s ahead – not necessarily a pandemic but more disruptions.
EUROPEAN COMMISSION 2021 - STRATEGIC FORESIGHT REPORT:
POC: Daniel Ferrie
The 2021 Strategic Foresight Report has identified four global trends that could impact the EU’s capacity and freedom to act in the coming decades. Those trends include climate change; tech transformations; democracy and values; and global order and demography.
NIOSH PUBLICATION: LEVERAGING STRATEGIC FORESIGHT TO ADVANCE WORKER SAFETY, HEALTH, AND WELL-BEING:
The International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health recently published: Leveraging Strategic Foresight to Advance Worker Safety, Health, and Well-Being. This article discusses the methods and benefits of developing and utilizing alternative future scenarios as input to strategic plans. It concludes that practicing strategic foresight empowers organizations to leverage signals of change to gain insights into the future in order to move forward in preferred directions.
SOIF CASE STUDY - GOVERNMENT OFFICE FOR SCIENCE:
POC: Ruth Beveridge
The School of International Futures (SOIF) recently published its Government Office for the Science case study report. The report discusses building effective foresight governance systems, and contains a blog summarizing the work. The report explores how governments in eight countries use foresight and futures techniques – with examples from FFCOI, VA, USCG, GAO, and more.
IFTF FORESIGHT TALKS WITH SHARAELLE GRZESIAK:
POC: Sharaelle Grzesiak
Be sure to catch IFTF Foresight talks where Co-Chair Sharaelle Grzesiak, shared how she's integrated strategic foresight into multiple federal government agencies and policies through workshops, consultations, and community-building. If you missed it the video is now available along with other great speakers.
BOOK ALERT: CONVERGENCE:
POC: Deborah Westphal
In May, author and former CEO at Toffler - Deborah Westphal - recently released Convergence: Technology, Business, and the Human-centric Future. Convergence is a clarion call for a future-focus. The book explores how and why business, technology, and humanity are intersecting and considers what decisions we must make. The books calls on leaders to make a choice – remain committed to profits above all else or shift to a human-centric approach that embraces the convergence.
GLOBAL TRENDS 2040:
In March 2021, the National Intelligence Council (NIC) published their 7th edition of the NIC Global Trends 2040: A More Contested World. The global trends report provides an analytic framework for each administration as they craft a national security strategy and navigate an uncertain future. While NIC does not provide a specific prediction of the world in 2040, it does provide an idea of what may lie beyond the horizon to prepare for an array of possible futures.
ARTICLE: FOUR LESSONS THAT SHAPED MY PATH TO THE SENIOR EXECUTIVE SERVICE":
“Leaders must take responsibility for people, money, and things- how they do it makes all the difference and distinguishes between less-than-great and great public servants.” Mr. James-Christian Blockwood, Executive Vice President at the Partnership for Public Service shares his take on his 15-year career as a civil servant. He shares lessons learned about leadership and relationship-building over the course of his public service career
POC: Bart Edes
COVID- 19 shredded our plans, while injecting greater uncertainty into a world already undergoing disruptive change. Learning from Tomorrow: Using Strategic Foresight to Prepare for the Next Big Disruption, explains how planners and decision-makers are using Strategic foresight to “future proof” new plans and strategies.
FUTURE OF GOVERNMENT IN 2030:
POC: Maria Bothwell
ViWhat will the Future of Government in 2030 look like 24 futurists were interviewed about how the world might look in 2030. To get a sense of what the coming decade might mean for state and local governments, they asked futurists, including thought leaders, public officials, academics, and tech experts for their ideas on the trends that will have the greatest impact on the public sector over the next 10 years. Their responses, condensed and in this article, provide a glimpse into what may happen in the years ahead.
ARTICLE - THE FUTURE OF WORK POST-PANDEMIC: WE'RE NOT GOING BACK:
POC: John Kamensky
It is estimated that many private sector companies jumped three to four years ahead into the future workplace in the space of a few weeks due to the pandemic. Government areas also adapted to the new normal by transitioning services online that had been traditionally reluctant to redesign. While many kinks need to be worked out, government will have to adapt to many challenges, and look ahead to a new normal.